Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.000697 0.000792 0.000893 0.001008 0.001133 0.001267 0.001420
2025-08-31 0.000527 0.000655 0.000801 0.000976 0.001181 0.001411 0.001689
2025-09-07 0.000447 0.000590 0.000760 0.000974 0.001233 0.001534 0.001909
2025-09-14 0.000386 0.000539 0.000727 0.000973 0.001280 0.001648 0.002119
2025-09-21 0.000335 0.000491 0.000692 0.000961 0.001309 0.001736 0.002294
2025-09-28 0.000290 0.000447 0.000655 0.000943 0.001325 0.001805 0.002444
2025-10-05 0.000268 0.000431 0.000652 0.000967 0.001394 0.001940 0.002681
2025-10-12 0.000247 0.000413 0.000646 0.000985 0.001454 0.002064 0.002904
2025-10-19 0.000221 0.000385 0.000622 0.000976 0.001476 0.002138 0.003063
2025-10-26 0.000197 0.000358 0.000598 0.000965 0.001492 0.002203 0.003211
2025-11-02 0.000182 0.000343 0.000590 0.000975 0.001538 0.002308 0.003412
2025-11-09 0.000166 0.000325 0.000575 0.000974 0.001567 0.002390 0.003585
2025-11-16 0.000144 0.000297 0.000543 0.000945 0.001556 0.002417 0.003683
2025-11-23 0.000126 0.000272 0.000514 0.000919 0.001546 0.002444 0.003783
2025-11-30 0.000114 0.000257 0.000500 0.000916 0.001570 0.002519 0.003949
2025-12-07 0.000104 0.000244 0.000489 0.000915 0.001597 0.002598 0.004123
2025-12-14 0.000094 0.000228 0.000472 0.000904 0.001607 0.002653 0.004263
2025-12-21 0.000083 0.000212 0.000452 0.000887 0.001606 0.002691 0.004378
2025-12-28 0.000079 0.000209 0.000456 0.000910 0.001670 0.002826 0.004637
2026-01-04 0.000075 0.000205 0.000456 0.000927 0.001724 0.002947 0.004879
2026-01-11 0.000068 0.000193 0.000442 0.000918 0.001736 0.003005 0.005027
2026-01-18 0.000061 0.000182 0.000428 0.000908 0.001743 0.003054 0.005163
2026-01-25 0.000057 0.000176 0.000425 0.000917 0.001784 0.003157 0.005381